CONTRACTORS · RISK ENGINE
Contractor Risk Engine
Live contractor risk surfacing across delays, overruns, quality failures, compliance gaps and customer exposure.
6 contractors flagged₦172M exposure · 4 critical risks · live monitoring
Total Risks
38
all severities
Critical
4
exec action
+2 WoW
Delayed Projects
11
> 5 day slip
Budget Overruns
₦84M
5 projects
Contractors Flagged
6
composite < 70
Financial Exposure
₦172M
net at-risk
+₦38M WoW
SEVERITY MIX
Risk severity distribution
Critical risk concentrated in PH Marina, Enugu Skyline, and Abuja Hills.
PROBABILITY × IMPACT
Contractor risk matrix
Live contractor risk board
Sorted by severity · refreshed every 60s
| Contractor | Estate / project | Type | Severity | Days behind | Impact | Owner | Recommended action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Works | PH Marina drainage | delay | critical | 18 | ₦42M | Femi O. | Replace or reassign |
| Niger Build Group | Enugu Skyline land prep | budget | critical | 14 | ₦22M | Bola A. | Freeze payment |
| Atlas Infra | Abuja Hills perimeter | delay | high | 12 | ₦18M | Tunde M. | Add crew |
| Lagos Build Co. | Eko Bay roads | quality | high | 6 | ₦14M rework | QA Lead | Quality audit |
| Northgate Eng. | Ibeju City power | delay | medium | 4 | ₦8M | Ops Lead | Monitor |
| Sahel Construction | Kuje drainage | compliance | medium | 2 | permit gap | Legal | Resolve permit |
| Atlas Infra | Kuje Heights drainage | compliance | medium | — | permit gap | Legal | Follow-up |
Activity Timeline
- Coastal Works · escalation to CRITICAL1hPH Marina drainage now 18 days behind
- Niger Build payment placed on hold6h₦22M variance · budget explanation required
- Atlas Infra requested additional crew1dAbuja Hills perimeter · +18 workers
- Lagos Build Co. QA re-audit dispatched2dEko Bay roads · 4 sections flagged
- Sahel drainage permit follow-up filed3dFCT Office · 48h response window
- Northgate Ibeju power delay logged5dIBEDC dependency · escalated
- Customer notification plan approved7d14 PH Marina customers · proactive brief
Risk by estate · category heat
PH Marina · Delay
20
PH Marina · Quality
45
PH Marina · Compliance
60
Enugu · Budget
22
Enugu · Delay
30
Enugu · Supply
55
Abuja Hills · Delay
44
Abuja Hills · Permit
70
Eko Bay · Quality
48
Eko Bay · Budget
74
Kuje · Compliance
62
Kuje · Supply
78
Lekki Pearl · All
88
Ibeju City · All
84
Magodo Vista · Supply
52
Ibadan Crest · Utility
58
Kano Ridge · All
82
Eko Atlantic · Legal
66
FINANCIAL EXPOSURE
Exposure by contractor (₦M)
Two contractors carry ₦64M combined critical exposure — replacement plan reduces net exposure by ~₦46M.
Executive escalations
last 7 days
Coastal Works · PH Marina drainage 18d behind
₦42M exposure · 14 customer escalations queued
Atlas Infra · Abuja Hills perimeter 12d behind
₦18M exposure · sub-contractor dispute
Lagos Build Co. · failed quality audit · Eko Bay
Rework cost ₦8.4M · 4 sections
Niger Build Group · ₦22M budget overrun
Enugu Skyline land prep · explanation pending
Magodo Vista cement shortage · 72h supply gap
Sahel Cement disruption · alternate sourced
Ibadan Crest transformer ETA pushed 8 days
IBEDC dependency · escalated to NERC liaison
Lekki Pearl roads back on schedule
Citadel added two crews · 4 days recovered
Mitigation action board
Suggested by AI risk engine
reassign
Switch PH Marina drainage to Sahel Construction
Save ~8d · +₦3M · CFO approval required
escalate
Suspend Niger Build payments pending review
Protect ₦42M remaining contract value
notify
Brief 14 PH Marina customers proactively
Reduce refund risk ~60% per model
approve
Emergency material purchase · cement (Magodo)
₦18M · secures 21-day supply
dispatch
QA inspection team → Eko Bay roads
4 sections · 48h
legal
Permit intervention · Kuje Heights drainage
FCT liaison · 72h window
AI Risk Diagnosis · 91% confidence
Root cause
Contractor capacity, material availability, and weak milestone verification are driving 67% of current risk.
Delay prediction
PH Marina may slip another 9–12 days without contractor replacement.
Financial impact
Exposure may rise from ₦172M to ₦240M within 30 days.
Recommended intervention
Freeze new allocations for Coastal Works and Niger Build. Reassign PH Marina to Sahel. Executive approval for all milestone payments > ₦25M.
Risk recovery tracker · last 30 days
Executive KPI progression
Delays recovered
on track6
/ 12
target 12
Risks closed
on track14
/ 20
target 20
Exposure reduced ₦M
watch38
/ 60
target ₦60M
Replacement contractors
ready4
/ 6
ready pool
Cust. escalations prevented
on track22
/ 30
rolling 30d
Action Queue
4 pendingExecutive risk council · Friday 09:00
Chair · CEO
3d
Legal review · Niger Build contract
GC & CFO
48h
Customer comms · PH Marina
Marketing
24h
Insurance claim · Eko Bay rework
Finance
5d